Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.767531 5.353005 5.991315 6.740370 7.597159 8.548721 9.688525
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.960358 4.741887 5.658061 6.817024 8.251957 9.980453 12.235538
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.347663 4.199917 5.253505 6.662846 8.515370 10.890432 14.203061
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.957787 3.853192 5.008863 6.627294 8.863122 11.884051 16.344881
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.647779 3.560217 4.781504 6.560050 9.124648 12.751884 18.384529
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.508230 3.473686 4.810789 6.831425 9.866830 14.353508 21.671612
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.310629 3.281465 4.665786 6.825549 10.187354 15.352316 24.151612
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.129570 3.093257 4.503905 6.769273 10.411800 16.210787 26.498357
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.891152 2.797992 4.154273 6.384868 10.069439 16.112507 27.205408
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.780999 2.687353 4.074490 6.415190 10.396264 17.141182 29.996622
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.722301 2.650641 4.104793 6.623319 11.036476 18.767284 34.087437
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.645273 2.577759 4.069498 6.715270 11.480100 20.088702 37.780220
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.562466 2.491622 4.009369 6.765767 11.867914 21.377603 41.657646
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.482989 2.404968 3.941295 6.795581 12.220777 22.643474 45.691742
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.378497 2.268026 3.775933 6.633081 12.190389 23.153777 48.186534
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.304269 2.177533 3.683892 6.596001 12.395772 24.154846 51.913193
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.232012 2.085251 3.581326 6.528789 12.531919 25.024613 55.471924
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.214164 2.088308 3.650780 6.798630 13.382716 27.517789 63.319618
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.159455 2.020557 3.584152 6.792774 13.653365 28.769048 68.312032
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.102454 1.944754 3.496767 6.736801 13.809074 29.776891 72.850997
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.009307 1.795809 3.260092 6.354473 13.208894 28.958060 72.391586
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.972434 1.751159 3.222184 6.384632 13.536992 30.384227 78.336356
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.957978 1.748397 3.265910 6.591637 14.291358 32.945337 87.987209